← Santa Clara Covention Center NorCal Regional hosted by Final Cut TCG
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at Santa Clara Covention Center NorCal Regional hosted by Final Cut TCG
decks
5
(7.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
31
13-16-2
overall winrate
45.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.8%
avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
51.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1374
· median 1434
· range 1148–1562
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1226
Q3 1428
1648
60% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 14.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.1% | +15.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.4% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.8% | -5.2 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -4.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.7% | -5.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Water Exia | 4.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.4% | -7.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.7% | -10.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.1% | -12.4 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -1.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.1 |
| Fire Neos | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.8% | -25.8 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +16.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.1% | -23.9 |
| Wind Exia Jin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 1.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 63.0% | +9.7 |
| Wind Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.0 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
